1. In presidential elections, top-of-the-ticket candidates often help down-ballot candidates win close races
2. Several popular swing-state Democrats could help drive turnout in support of President Joe Biden’s reelection bid
3. The popularity of Democratic senators like Bob Casey Jr. in Pennsylvania and Tammy Baldwin in Wisconsin could help Biden win those key swing states.
In most presidential elections, the top-of-the-ticket candidates are the main draws for their parties, helping down-ballot candidates win close races. However, in the upcoming election, popular swing-state Democrats could drive turnout in support of President Joe Biden’s reelection bid. This reversal of the typical presidential coattail effect may keep Biden in the White House for four more years, especially in must-win swing states like Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.
In Pennsylvania, Democratic Senator Bob Casey Jr. is averaging a significant lead over his GOP rival, which could benefit Biden. Casey’s long history of holding statewide office in Pennsylvania and his strong connection with voters may help drive Democratic turnout in the state. Casey expects a close race as more people become familiar with his opponent, David McCormick.
Similarly, in Wisconsin, Democratic incumbent Senator Tammy Baldwin boasts wide leads over her likely GOP opponent, which could also give Biden a significant lift in the state. Baldwin’s popularity in Wisconsin, combined with renewed enthusiasm among Democratic voters over redrawn state legislative maps, may lead to significant gains for the party in the upcoming election.
Overall, the popularity of these swing-state Democrats could play a crucial role in driving turnout and support for President Biden’s reelection bid, potentially helping him secure a second term in office. With close races in key swing states like Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, the impact of down-ballot candidates like Casey and Baldwin may be instrumental in determining the outcome of the election.